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Trend Alert – Southern U.S.

It looks like there will be significant changes in precipitation trends starting late this week and continuing through much of next week. As the record negative Arctic Oscillation (AO) begins to moderate, the upper jet stream will relax and eventually align in a split...

Southeast U.S. Update

Over the past 24 hours, a band of heavy rain fell over parts of central Mississippi into central portions of Alabama. While this band was narrow from a basin perspective–it did produce a streak of 2 inches of rain (green) with a smaller area of 2.5 to 3 inches...

Mid Week Update

Seasonally Low Arctic Oscillation If you listened to my weekly briefing you might remember that I mentioned that the Artic Oscillation was forecast to dip to a seasonal low level this week. Well, take a look! As most of you know, temperatures have dipped well below...

Rain Event Summary

1 or 2 inches of rain fell over most of Mississippi, Northwest Alabama, Western Tennessee, and parts of Georgia the past day or two. The following image shows the heaviest axis of rainfall in yellow – where 2.5 to 3.5 inches of rain was estimated. Within the...

Heavy Midwest Snow – Heavy SE Rain

A widespread and complex weather system is producing a variety of weather impacts across the middle of the nation today. Snow and freezing rain over the Midwest will continue with heavy snow over portions of Oklahoma, Missouri, Kansas, Nebraska, Iowa, and eventually...